HVAC Rated

18,000 BTU mini-split heat pump · 38MP-series

Carrier 38MPRBQ18AA3

Excellent cooling efficiency and very good heating efficiency for a 18,000 BTU mini-split heat pump, and certified for cold climates.

Ranks #14 of 465 18,000 BTU mini-splits for cooling efficiency, and costs about $435 a year to run in a mixed climate like Atlanta.

SEER2
26.3 Cooling efficiency over a season
Excellent · beats 92%
HSPF2
11.0 Heating efficiency over a season
Very good · beats 75%
EER2
15.3 Cooling efficiency on a 95°F day
Excellent · beats 93%
Heat at 5°F
24,000 BTU/h120% of its 47°F output
Excellent · beats 99%

A good fit if…

  • You want low cooling bills - its SEER2 beats 92% of mini-splits.
  • Your winters get properly cold - it is ENERGY STAR cold-climate certified, with 24,000 BTU/h at 5°F.
  • It will heat most of the year - its HSPF2 beats 75% of mini-splits.
  • You want steady temperatures and quiet running - the compressor varies its speed.

Think twice if…

  • You want the newest refrigerant - it uses R-410A, which is being phased down.

Calculate my running cost

Details

Specifications18,000 BTU, R-410A
General
BrandCarrier
Also sold asBryant, Midea, WeatherMaker, Payne
Outdoor unit model38MPRBQ18AA3
Series38MP-series
TypeMini-split heat pump
Nominal size18,000 BTU
CompressorVariable-speed units run longer at low powerContinuously variable
RefrigerantR-410A
Connected (smart) capableNo
On the market sinceJanuary 1, 2018
Last certifiedJune 13, 2026
Cooling
SEER2Seasonal efficiency, higher is better26.3 (range 26.3)
EER2Efficiency at 95°F outdoors15.3
Cooling capacity18,000 BTU/h
Heating
HSPF2Seasonal efficiency, higher is better11.0
Capacity at 47°F20,000 BTU/h
Capacity at 17°F20,200 BTU/h
Capacity at 5°F24,000 BTU/h
COP at 5°F2.0 = twice as efficient as a space heater2.89
ENERGY STAR cold climateYes
Heating output as it gets colder120% kept at 5°F

Every heat pump delivers less heat as the outdoor temperature drops. Certified output of its matchup with 40MPHBQ18XA3 at the standard test temperatures, in BTU/h:

Certified matchups5 indoor units

The same outdoor unit scores differently with each indoor unit. Ask your installer for the AHRI reference number of the exact system you are quoted.

Indoor unitSEER2EER2HSPF2Heat @5°FAHRI ref.
40MPHBQ18XA3 CARRIER · cold climate26.315.311.024,000207826658
619PHBQ18XA3 BRYANT · cold climate26.315.311.024,000207826657
DHMPHBQ18XA3 MIDEA · cold climate26.315.311.024,000207826656
DHMPHBQ18XA3 Weathermaker · cold climate26.315.311.024,000207826655
DHMPHBQ18XA3 PAYNE · cold climate26.315.311.024,000207826654
Yearly running cost in 10 large cities$325-$1,093

At each state's average electricity price and the city's typical heating and cooling hours.

Questions5
What is the SEER2 rating of the Carrier 38MPRBQ18AA3?
The Carrier 38MPRBQ18AA3 is rated at up to 26.3 SEER2 and 15.3 EER2 for cooling and up to 11.0 HSPF2 for heating. The exact figure depends on the indoor unit it is paired with.
Is the Carrier 38MPRBQ18AA3 good for cold climates?
Yes. At least one certified matchup meets the ENERGY STAR cold-climate criteria, delivering up to 24,000 BTU/h at 5°F with a COP of 2.89, so it is still 2.9 times as efficient as electric resistance heat at that temperature.
How much does the Carrier 38MPRBQ18AA3 cost to run per year?
At its rated efficiency it costs about $325-$1,093 a year in electricity in large U.S. cities, depending on climate and local rates - for example $432 in Phoenix and $937 in Minneapolis. The calculator on this page works it out for your city and compares it with your current system.
Which indoor units work with the Carrier 38MPRBQ18AA3?
ENERGY STAR lists 5 certified combinations for this outdoor unit. The highest-rated ones use CARRIER 40MPHBQ18XA3, BRYANT 619PHBQ18XA3, MIDEA DHMPHBQ18XA3.
What refrigerant does the Carrier 38MPRBQ18AA3 use?
It uses R-410A. R-410A is being phased down under the EPA AIM Act, and new systems are moving to R-454B and R-32.

Running cost and savings

Pre-filled with this model. Pick your city and what you heat with today; everything else is optional.

Heat pump $445/yrYou save $516/yrSee details ↓
1. Where you live
Adjust heating and cooling hours

Filled in from your city's climate. Change them if you run the system much more or less than usual.

2. The heat pump Carrier 38MPRBQ18AA3
3. What it replaces
4. Price replace the example with your quote
Heat pump, per year
$445
Current system, per year
$961
You save per year
$516
Payback
13.6 years
Net after 10 years
-$1,837

Cooling $241Heating $204Electricity used: 2,778 kWhSaved vs. a minimum-efficiency heat pump: $297

Estimates use the unit's rated SEER2 and HSPF2, full-load hours derived from NOAA 1991-2020 degree days, average residential electricity prices from the U.S. EIA (12 months to July 2026) and fuel prices from EIA (2025 for natural gas, week of 2026-10-05 for propane and heating oil). Very cold days that need backup heat are not modelled. Federal minimum for comparison: 14.3 SEER2 / 7.5 HSPF2.

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Source: ENERGY STAR Certified Heat Pumps (U.S. EPA), certification of June 13, 2026. How we use the data.