Do heat pumps work in Little Rock winters?

Winters in Little Rock are mild, so heating efficiency matters less than cooling. The average winter low is 33°F, and the heating season adds up to 3,165 heating degree days (NOAA 1991-2020 normals).

How much does it cost to run a heat pump in Little Rock?

A typical 3-ton central heat pump (17.0 SEER2, 9.0 HSPF2) uses about $673 of electricity a year for heating and $399 for cooling in Little Rock, at the Arkansas average of 13.5¢/kWh. The most efficient models cost less - see the rankings above.

Is a heat pump cheaper than a gas furnace in Little Rock?

Yes, for heating at today's prices: about $673 a year with a typical heat pump versus $881 with a 95% gas furnace, using Arkansas averages of 13.5¢/kWh and $1.86/therm.

What size heat pump do I need for a 2,000 sq ft house in Little Rock?

With average insulation, roughly a 3.5-ton system: the estimated cooling load is 32,100 BTU/h and the heating load 38,000 BTU/h. Use the size calculator for your own house, and ask installers for a Manual J calculation.

Mild winters · Hot summers

Best heat pumps for Little Rock, AR

Winters in Little Rock are mild, so heating efficiency matters less than cooling.

A typical heat pump costs about $673 a year to heat a house here and $399 to cool it. A 95% gas furnace would cost $881 for the same heat, so the heat pump is cheaper to run.

Nights at or below 0°F0 a year
Nights at or below 20°F6 a year
Days at or above 90°F76 a year
Average winter low33°F
Average summer high91°F
Electricity13.5¢ per kWh
Natural gas$1.86 per therm

Cheapest to run in Little Rock

Ranked by yearly electricity cost in this climate, so the balance of heating and cooling efficiency is the one that matters here.

Best 12,000 BTU mini-split

Fujitsu AOUH12KTAP1

12,000 BTU mini-split · AIRSTAGE H-Series · cold-climate certified

SEER2: 31.5
HSPF2: 13.7
Per year here: $219

For one large room.

Full specs and running cost

Best 24,000 BTU mini-split

SLIMAIR SHC24VH2AG

24,000 BTU mini-split · SHC Series · cold-climate certified

SEER2: 27.5
HSPF2: 14.5
Per year here: $443

For open-plan floor or small home.

Full specs and running cost

Best 3-ton central heat pump

TOSHIBA CARRIER MCY-MUB0368HS2P-UL

3 ton central · cold-climate certified

SEER2: 29.7
HSPF2: 12.2
Per year here: $725

For typical whole house.

Full specs and running cost

Running cost calculator for Little Rock

Pre-filled with Little Rock's climate and Arkansas prices. Pick a model, tell it what you heat with today, and add your quote.

Heat pump $675/yrYou save $475/yrSee details ↓

1. Where you live

StateCityElectricity ¢ per kWh

Adjust heating and cooling hours

Filled in from your city's climate. Change them if you run the system much more or less than usual.

Cooling hours full-load hours per yearHeating hours full-load hours per year

2. The heat pump pick a model or type its ratings

Find a model (fills in the ratings below)

SEER2 cooling efficiencyHSPF2 heating efficiencyCooling capacity BTU/hHeating capacity BTU/h

3. What it replaces

Current heatingFurnace efficiency (AFUE %)Gas price, $/thermCurrent coolingOld AC rating SEER2 (10 ≈ 15+ years old)

4. Price replace the example with your quote

Installed price, $Rebates and incentives, $ utility, state

Heat pump, per year: $675
Current system, per year: $1,150
You save per year: $475
Payback: 18.9 years
Net after 10 years: -$4,250

Cooling $226Heating $449Electricity used: 5,013 kWhSaved vs. a minimum-efficiency heat pump: $180

Estimates use the unit's rated SEER2 and HSPF2, full-load hours derived from NOAA 1991-2020 degree days, average residential electricity prices from the U.S. EIA (12 months to July 2026) and fuel prices from EIA (2025 for natural gas, week of 2026-10-05 for propane and heating oil). Very cold days that need backup heat are not modelled. Federal minimum for comparison: 14.3 SEER2 / 7.5 HSPF2.

More for Little Rock

Top 5 12,000 BTU mini-splitsfrom $219/yr

Model	SEER2	HSPF2	Per year
Fujitsu AOUH12KTAP1	31.5	13.7	$219
MDV MOX430-12HFN1-MZ60W	27.5	14.5	$221
Goodman MSH123G26MCAA	27.5	14.5	$221
Fujitsu AOUH12KZAH1	30.5	12.7	$233
Fujitsu AOUG12LZAS1	29.4	12.9	$233

All 12,000 BTU mini-splits

Top 5 24,000 BTU mini-splitsfrom $443/yr

Model	SEER2	HSPF2	Per year
SLIMAIR SHC24VH2AG	27.5	14.5	$443
MDV MOD30-24HFN10-M1X	22.3	13.5	$502
Mainline ML24HP230NEXH-O	22.3	13.3	$506
ComfortStar CHF3-24CD(O)	22.3	13.3	$506
Arcoaire D5CSHAH24AAK	21.2	13.5	$512

All 24,000 BTU mini-splits

Top 5 3-ton central heat pumpsfrom $725/yr

Model	SEER2	HSPF2	Per year
TOSHIBA CARRIER MCY-MUB0368HS2P-UL	29.7	12.2	$725
LG KUSXA361A	23.5	10.5	$866
LG KUSXB361A	22.0	10.3	$896
Trane 5TWV0X36A1	21.0	10.5	$900
Lennox SL22KLV-036-230A	20.5	10.5	$908

All 3-ton central heat pumps

Heat pump vs. gas, propane and oilheat pump is cheaper than gas

Yearly cost to heat a typical house (36,000 BTU/h of heat, 1,250 full-load hours) at Arkansas prices.

Heat pump (typical, 9.0 HSPF2)$673/yr
Natural gas furnace, 95% AFUE$881/yr
Natural gas furnace, 80% AFUE$1,046/yr
Propane furnace, 95% AFUE$1,184/yr
Electric baseboard or furnace$1,775/yr
Heating oil, 85% AFUE$2,284/yr

Electricity and natural gas: Arkansas residential averages from the U.S. EIA; propane and heating oil: latest EIA weekly prices.

Month by monthpeak $160 in January

Heating and cooling degree days (NOAA 1991-2020 normals) and what a typical 3-ton heat pump costs in each month at 13.5¢/kWh.

Month	Heating DD	Cooling DD	Cost
January	754	1	$160
February	569	1	$121
March	391	11	$85
April	154	48	$42
May	30	182	$43
June	0	389	$78
July	0	510	$102
August	0	490	$98
September	11	281	$59
October	145	69	$45
November	425	7	$92
December	684	1	$146

What size heat pump for a Little Rock home?3.5 ton for 2,000 sq ft

1,000 sq ft house2 ton · heating load 19,000 BTU/h
1,500 sq ft house2.5 ton · heating load 28,500 BTU/h
2,000 sq ft house3.5 ton · heating load 38,000 BTU/h
2,500 sq ft house4 ton · heating load 47,500 BTU/h

Average insulation, 8 ft ceilings. Size calculator for your own home

Questions4

Do heat pumps work in Little Rock winters?: Winters in Little Rock are mild, so heating efficiency matters less than cooling. The average winter low is 33°F, and the heating season adds up to 3,165 heating degree days (NOAA 1991-2020 normals).
How much does it cost to run a heat pump in Little Rock?: A typical 3-ton central heat pump (17.0 SEER2, 9.0 HSPF2) uses about $673 of electricity a year for heating and $399 for cooling in Little Rock, at the Arkansas average of 13.5¢/kWh. The most efficient models cost less - see the rankings above.
Is a heat pump cheaper than a gas furnace in Little Rock?: Yes, for heating at today's prices: about $673 a year with a typical heat pump versus $881 with a 95% gas furnace, using Arkansas averages of 13.5¢/kWh and $1.86/therm.
What size heat pump do I need for a 2,000 sq ft house in Little Rock?: With average insulation, roughly a 3.5-ton system: the estimated cooling load is 32,100 BTU/h and the heating load 38,000 BTU/h. Use the size calculator for your own house, and ask installers for a Manual J calculation.

Nearby cities

Climate: NOAA 1991-2020 normals, station LITTLE ROCK AP ADAMS FLD (11 km away).