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Severe winters

Best heat pumps for Midwest

Choose an ENERGY STAR cold-climate model. The coldest winters of the lower 48 in the north, hot summers everywhere and relatively cheap natural gas.

A typical heat pump heats for less than a 95% gas furnace in 0 of 12 states here, and for far less than heating oil or propane everywhere.

Cheapest to run in Midwest

More for Midwest

Heat pump vs. gas and oil, by state0 of 12 favor the heat pump
  • Illinoisheat pump $1,784 · gas $962 · oil $4,293
  • Indianaheat pump $1,468 · gas $904 · oil $3,786
  • Iowaheat pump $1,436 · gas $986 · oil $4,429
  • Kansasheat pump $1,118 · gas $1,003 · oil $3,380
  • Michiganheat pump $2,100 · gas $995 · oil $4,269
  • Minnesotaheat pump $1,948 · gas $1,205 · oil $5,263
  • Missouriheat pump $1,028 · gas $1,010 · oil $3,380
  • Nebraskaheat pump $1,213 · gas $980 · oil $3,832
  • North Dakotaheat pump $1,779 · gas $1,238 · oil $6,485
  • Ohioheat pump $1,537 · gas $1,066 · oil $3,798
  • South Dakotaheat pump $1,684 · gas $1,062 · oil $5,389
  • Wisconsinheat pump $2,026 · gas $1,064 · oil $4,606

Yearly cost to heat a typical house (36,000 BTU/h) at each state's prices and climate.

Top 6: 3-ton central heat pumpsfrom $1,356/yr
Top 6: 12,000 BTU mini-splitsfrom $393/yr
Questions3
What is the best heat pump for the Midwest?
Winters here are cold enough that an ENERGY STAR cold-climate model is the safe choice. Ranked by yearly running cost in the regional climate, the leading 3-ton central heat pump is the TOSHIBA CARRIER MCY-MUB0368HS2P-UL and the leading 12,000 BTU mini-split is the MDV MOX430-12HFN1-MZ60W. City guides below adjust this for local weather and prices.
Do heat pumps work in the Midwest winters?
Across the region's large cities there are on average 7.1 nights a year at or below 0°F and 48 at or below 20°F (NOAA 1991-2020 normals). Modern cold-climate heat pumps keep producing heat well below 0°F, but check the output at 5°F against your heating load.
Is a heat pump cheaper than gas in the Midwest?
At current prices a typical heat pump heats for less than a 95% gas furnace in 0 of 12 states in the region. Against heating oil or propane it is cheaper everywhere here.

City guides in Midwest

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